It looks like we just flipped a state Senate seat in Texas.

[RandySF]

None of the top forecaster have called it yet but some of the more aggressive people have. I'll let you know when I hear more.

[Cha]

1. TY and Amazing! Wonder how the District

is labeled? Red, Tossup Purple?

[RandySF]

2. Trump won it by 17%.

[Cha]

5. Hmmmmm! TY, Randy!

[herding cats]

4. It's Tarrant County so leaning red?

This is good news if we got the flip!

[RandySF]

6. All I know is

the Republican is getting killed in Latino Ft. Worth precincts. The Dem is outperforming Kamala there by 50%.

[Cha]

8. Yeah, that was then with Kamala and

now all that she said would happen if Traitor got in has happened.

TY

[Cha]

7. Aloha, Cat... Randy said Taitor

won by 17%.

[UpInArms]

3. Fingers crossed

🤞🏼

[JCMach1]

9. The female R was a literal NAZi/White Supremacist

[sheshe2]

10. Oh wow.

Make it so. The late great Ann Richards will be smiling down.

[LetMyPeopleVote]

11. I have been active in Texas politics for a long time and I am still hoping that Texas will turn blue

I have been following some demographic trends for a while that would indicate that Texas should turn blue. Texas is getting older and more urban. Texas was more republican that these trends would indicate in 2024 in large part because Hispanics voted for trump and the GOP in larger numbers than what one would expect. I grew up in or near the Rio Grand Valley that went for trump. I was surprised by this result.

Last night was a great result in a state senate runoff race where a Democrat won a seat by 14 percentage points that trump won by 17 percentage points.

Link to tweet

If this swing was held up nationally, Texas would be blue as would the rest of the country

Link to tweet

This race was largely symbolic in that the next time the next time the Texas legis will be in session will be after the November elections and special elections are not necessarily representative of national/regular elections.

I am encouraged by the fact that Hispanic voters in SD 9 went for the Democrat.

Link to tweet

In Texas, there is a racist tradition called sundown towns where non-whites used to have to be out of the city limits by sundown or face lynching. Vidor Texas is one such city. The democrat in this race flipped a local sundown city in this race

Link to tweet

These results are encouraging to me. I still believe that Texas will turn blue. trump's alienation of Hispanic voters should continue given the current ICE operations.