Who will control the House? It's down to these uncalled races

[Dulcinea]

(NPR) Control of the House is still too close to call, according to the Associated Press. There remain outstanding votes in California, where there are multiple competitive races.

Democrats need a net gain of four seats to win the majority.

Democrats have so far flipped four seats and are leading in two of the seven remaining Republican-held competitive seats. Arizona's District 1 was called for the Republican incumbent.

Republicans have flipped three and are leading in two of the eight remaining Democratic-held competitive seats.

https://www.npr.org/2024/11/07/g-s1-33301/2024-house-seats-undecided-control

[Akakoji]

1. Outdated

[Igel]

5. That always happens to all commentary on current events. n/t

[liberalla]

2. Repubs - 219 /// Dems - 210

With some as yet uncalled races...

decisiondeskhq.https://com/results/2024/General/US-House/

[GreenWave]

3. simply motion to vacate speaker each time they piss us off.

[ColinC]

4. Decision desk called 219 which includes Will Rollins CA41. I think that was called too early

Dems are likely to get 215 -assuming Adam Gray pulls ahead (most remaining count is very liberal). If Peltola can somehow eak by a win, Dems get 216. If Rollins' gets one good late mail drop, it might be enough to be optimistic for him. I remember 2022, the late vote which mostly came from Palm Springs might have given him a solid 1-2 points to his count. Determining on where it falls this time, it would be enough for a very narrow win. Rollins flipping (a relative long shot at this point), would put Dems at 217.

[Igel]

6. The only thing riding on an absolute majority is House leadership.

Whoever's in control wields some power as to committee appointments, schedules, yada-yada. It can be abused when procedure--sacred at times and utter crap at times, if the last 4-14 years is any indication--is to be acknowledged.

Otherwise, it's like the awesome steamroller that was the (D) Senate. Oh--wait!--it had a couple of members, often more, that kept it from steamrolling all that much. Oops. The analogy seems to reflect its first 4 letters more than not.

I've heard commentary that once the (R) had a majority in the Senate--something that's happened--of course they'll be united as a bloc.

To which I thought, "Right, just like the (D) were a bloc in the Senate and the (R) an absolutely rocks solid bloc in the House." Then I noticed that the pundits all sported a tacit (D) and were catastrophizing. Fractured rocks tend to have fractures.

The Senate's (R) majority will be greater than the (D) majority is, so the narrowness is likely to be a bit less crippling and the filibuster, derided when (D) ruled because stood in our way but now surely to be praised because it stands in the (R)s' way, froze legislation, will be a bit more useful. But any (R) majority in the House will be so scant as to empower any (R) "Gang of 4" that self-forms for a specific cause or give power to any group of (D) whose support the leader of the House will accept.

The next Congress isn't divided, just functionally 90% divided. On big things where Trump and the leaders can compel compliance and find loopholes that I think are scurvy in a party-independent way, sure, things will be rammed through. But democracies should be ramming anything through any citizen.

[ancianita]

7. I count possibly three to four more seats for Dems.

https://www.politico.com/2024-election/results/house/