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LiberalArkie

(16,663 posts)
Fri Mar 27, 2020, 12:22 PM Mar 2020

Some 191,000 Arkansans may need hospital care for coronavirus, according to new study

Some 908,900 Arkansans may become infected with the novel coronavirus over the course of the next six months, according to an epidemiological model of the spread of COVID-19 in Arkansas provided by the Arkansas Hospital Association to its members. Among those who become infected, an estimated 190,800 Arkansans may need hospital care and 41,400 may need to be hospitalized in intensive care units in the next six months, according to the projections.

The model, which was obtained by the Arkansas Nonprofit News Network and which the AHA later confirmed it produced, assumes a statewide 40 percent infection rate over the course of six months and puts hospitalization at the peak of the pandemic — in June — at 12,720 beds. There are around 8,400 staffed hospital beds in Arkansas.

The AHA’s numbers were based on a model designed by infectious disease epidemiologists at Harvard University.

Asked about the projections on Thursday, Governor Hutchinson said he and Secretary of Health Dr. Nathaniel Smith had spent a lot of time on modeling.

Snip

https://arktimes.com/arkansas-blog/2020/03/26/some-191000-arkansans-may-need-hospital-care-for-coronavirus-according-to-new-study?fbclid=IwAR2qBUHKL2gfTz1G3W41ciUFp8OliR4RKIXrKlZk9xKcwG3QF5c43EBhRg0

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Some 191,000 Arkansans may need hospital care for coronavirus, according to new study (Original Post) LiberalArkie Mar 2020 OP
That's what almost 10% of the population? sinkingfeeling Mar 2020 #1
he is very concerned, very, very concerned.... getagrip_already Mar 2020 #2
Arkansas will get everything not sent to MI and NY DBoon Mar 2020 #3
Good luck with that. gibraltar72 Mar 2020 #4
Know 4 people from Conway Arkansas that went to Mardi Gras. lynintenn Mar 2020 #5
Arkansas Department of Health is run by idiots. From their ADH website... Canoe52 Mar 2020 #6
Republicans.... LiberalArkie Mar 2020 #7

getagrip_already

(17,568 posts)
2. he is very concerned, very, very concerned....
Fri Mar 27, 2020, 12:25 PM
Mar 2020

but will have to study the situation.

Of course, hospital resources will be available to the right people......

Canoe52

(2,963 posts)
6. Arkansas Department of Health is run by idiots. From their ADH website...
Fri Mar 27, 2020, 02:13 PM
Mar 2020

March 25, 2020
Advisory for Travelers from New York State and All International Locations
ADH is now recommending Self Home Quarantine for 14 days for all travelers from New York State and all international locations. This is due to high rates of COVID-19 in New York as well as in a growing number of international locations. In the interest of the public health, all travelers who return from one of these locations are advised to quarantine at home for 14 days, starting from the date they left that location.

You can find details of home quarantine here: https://www.healthy.arkansas.gov/programs- services/topics/covid-19-guidance-for-self-home-quarantine

Only New York State? Yea that’ll keep the virus out...

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