F&M Poll, Harris leads Trump 49-46

[Deminpenn]

It's a similar finding to other recent polls. It was in the field a long time 9/4-9/15 so only 1/4 was post-debate.

Looking at the numbers, there was 1 odd finding that Harris was winning white voters overall, but losing to non-white voters.

Partisan ID, not equal to party registration, was 44% D, 44%R.

Here is the link to the poll data:
https://www.fandmpoll.org/content/files/2024/09/F-MPollSEP24_SummaryReport.pdf

[PortTack]

1. Polls. So suspect! Leading with white voters, but non white?? Hummm

[Deminpenn]

2. This is a really good poll, they've been

surveying PA for decades and know it as well as anyone.

[unc70]

4. Look down into the internals, see if you still think that

I know they have a decent reputation, but it doesn't look consistent to me.

[unc70]

3. White v non-white seems almost reversed in voting

Harris carries whites, Trump carries non-white?! Same pattern for other contests. Something is seriously wrong with the internals of this poll. I don't have the time or energy to find the problems.

[Wiz Imp]

5. Yeah, they have a very good track record

But either they transposed the White vs Non-White numbers in their summary, or this whole poll should be ignored because it is 100% certain that Harris is not doing 16% better with white vs non-white voters and Trump is no way in hell doing 9% better with non-white vs white voters.