Beryl
Last edited Sat Jul 6, 2024, 06:53 AM - Edit history (3)
NHC
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Hurricane Watch is now in effect for the Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to Sargent.
A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect for the Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to Sargent.
The Meteorological Service of Mexico has issued a Hurricane Watch for the northeastern coast of Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to
the mouth of the Rio Grande.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...
* The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to Sargent
* The northeastern coast from mainland Mexico from Barra el Mezquital to the mouth of the Rio Grande
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* The Texas coast from the mouth of the Rio Grande northward to Sargent
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The coast of the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico west of Cabo Catoche to Campeche
7/6 7:00 am
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
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At 700 AM CDT (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 22.7 North, longitude 91.9 West. Beryl is
moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to
the northwest is expected later today and then north-northwestward
by Sunday night. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is
expected to approach the Texas coast by late Sunday into Monday
morning.
Reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h)
with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected today, but
strengthening is expected to begin by Sunday, and Beryl is forecast
to become a hurricane before it reaches the Texas coast.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.
The minimum central pressure estimated from the Hurricane Hunter
aircraft data is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
7/6 4:00 am
Key Messages:
1. There is an increasing risk of damaging hurricane-force winds and
life-threatening storm surge in portions of northeastern Mexico and
the Texas Coast late Sunday into Monday, where Hurricane and Storm
Surge Watches are in effect. Additional watches and warnings may be
required later today. Interests in these areas should follow any
advice given by local officials.
2. Flash and urban flooding, some of which may be locally
considerable in nature, is likely across portions of the Texas Gulf
Coast and eastern Texas beginning late Sunday through midweek.
3. Rip currents will cause life-threatening beach conditions through
the weekend across much of the Gulf Coast. Beachgoers should heed
warning flags and the advice of lifeguards and local officials
before venturing into the water.
Voluntary Evacuations
Texas counties issue voluntary evacuation orders ahead of Hurricane Beryl impact
Cameron County, which encompasses coastal cities like Brownsville, Harlingen, and South Padre Island, was the first to issue voluntary evacuation orders Wednesday, July 3. Cameron County issued the voluntary evacuation notice to RV residents and guests staying at Cameron County parks on Wednesday. Those parks include Isla Blanca, Andy Bowie and Adolph Thomae Jr. Park.
On Thursday, July 4, Kelberg County, which encompasses Kingsville, issued a voluntary evacuation order for Loyola Beach, Baffin Bay, and any low-lying areas that may see flooding in the wake of Hurricane Beryl. According to a statement from the City of Kingsville, FEMA Domes will open at HM King High School on Saturday for anyone needing to escape the impacts of the storm.
The NWS suggests having a family evacuation plan ready if you live in areas prone to hurricanes, like the Rio Grande Valley. The national agency notes the Lower Rio Grande Valley faces a uniquely challenging evacuation scenario due to a growing population coupled with a limited number of major highways connection the region to inner regions of Texas. So, the Texas Department of Transportation has plans for contraflow highways during mass evacuations – a system which makes highways one-way on both sides to expand access between the Rio Grande Valley and inner-Texas.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was
located near latitude 21.3 North, longitude 89.7 West. Beryl is
moving toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue through early Saturday. A turn
to the northwest is expected later on Saturday, with the center of
Beryl expected to approach the coast of northeastern Mexico and
Texas Sunday and Sunday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is expected, and Beryl is forecast to
regain hurricane status on Sunday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.35 inches).
National Hurricane Center
San Antonio News
Okay my fellow Texans, here we go.
Make sure you have
1) cars gassed up
2) money in small denominations
3) non perishable food for 3 days
4) water 1 gallon per day per person. Half gallon per day per pet. Three days
5) prescriptions
6) important documents like insurance.
7) a go bag - change of clothes for each person, first aid kit, water, food, prescriptions, toilet paper, paper towels, etc.
8) emergency radio
9) baby and pet supplies
If you evacuate, leave EARLY.
I you choose to stay, be prepared to be on your own for at least 72 hours.
It took 3 days for FEMA to set up ice, water and MREs in Houston after Ike.
The most important thing I learned from Ike - put all your frozen food into contactor bags - helps with removal if no electricity.
If electricity goes out, after storm set up your bbq pit in the front yard and cook as much as you can and invite your neighbors.
And most of all, please let us know you are safe and God Bless Texas.
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