Commitment Problems: Why Assad Fled, Why It Happened So Quickly, and Why the War Lasted 13 Years - William Spaniel

[TexasTowelie]

After more than 13 years of civil war in Syria, Damascus fell in under ten days, and President Bashar al-Assad fled the area under a cloud of mystery. This video looks at how an incentive structure central to almost all civil wars explains why all of those things happened as they did, and why Russia was unable alter the dynamics.

0:00 The Rapid End of the Assad Regime
0:54 Patterns of War Termination
2:40 Credible Commitment in Civil War Settlements
4:34 Morale Problems among Losing Soldiers
6:49 Russia and Why Assad Had to Flee

[Old Crank]

1. Yesterday in Munich

I saw a few Syrian flags worn by people.
There are a fair number of refugies here and I am assuming they are happy to see Assad gone.

[ReRe]

2. He said allot about Russia

but did he say what happens when the leader flees/takes exile in another country?

Assad is now in Moscow according to a report I heard.