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In reply to the discussion: George Clooney narrates ad for Harris - months after writing damning op-ed calling for Biden to quit race [View all]BumRushDaShow
(144,312 posts)is that they are shifting, just a tiny bit with weaselly headlines, the unusual instance of almost "exact tie" (aggregate) polls week after week. I forgot which site had the analysis (may have been The Independent) but they suggested, what many of us already figure is happening - that the poll "weighting" and what I call their black box nonsensical statistical manipulation as "corrections", are masking what is really going on, and this was being done because the pollsters were wrong the last couple Presidential elections (2016, 2020), where they claim those 2 were due to "underestimating" 45 voters. I would add 2012 in there where they were predicting that Rmoney would win and they were obviously underestimating the Obama voters.
IMHO, they have ZERO clue (or refuse to even entertain it) of who the "likely voter" is. But right now, with the level of early voting, they should have have an idea.