Who are you planning to vote for on the 23rd?

[muriel_volestrangler]

9. It's hard to know what these elections should be seen as

It would seem most likely that our MEPs will be out of a job within a year, and other parties won't want them to take significant roles because of that. But perhaps we'll end up with a referendum, and perhaps that'll be a Remain win, in which case they have a 'full' job after all, and we should elect the best for that. A backstop, so to speak?

Yes, that site's tactical voting suggests 1 extra Plaid MEP (as opposed to none), a few more Lib Dems, and one less Change UK (leading their SE England list, and thus the one who would lose of if it happened, is Richard Ashworth, former Tory MEP (suspended about 18 months ago for being too pro-EU)). I suspect no-one has good enough polls to really be able to predict much in each region, but the idea that 50% of Remain party voters would switch seems optimistic.

I've been trying to work out Corbyn's attitude to a referendum, and it's getting muddier by the day. Maybe tough on their MEPs, but this is the one election (in England, anyway) in which we do literally vote for a party, so they have to live with the effects of their Westminster leadership.