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Fumesucker

(45,851 posts)
31. A coronal mass ejection is a distinct possibility..
Mon Apr 2, 2012, 08:38 AM
Apr 2012

It won't melt down nuclear reactors but it could play absolute havoc with the power and communications grids.

The last such was the Carrington Event in 1859.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_storm_of_1859

On September 1–2, 1859, the largest recorded geomagnetic storm occurred. Aurorae were seen around the world, most notably over the Caribbean; also noteworthy were those over the Rocky Mountains that were so bright that their glow awoke gold miners, who began preparing breakfast because they thought it was morning. People who happened to be awake in the northeastern US could read a newspaper by the aurora's light.
Telegraph systems all over Europe and North America failed, in some cases even shocking telegraph operators. Telegraph pylons threw sparks and telegraph paper spontaneously caught fire. Some telegraph systems appeared to continue to send and receive messages despite having been disconnected from their power supplies.

http://www.wired.com/wiredscience/tag/carrington-event/

The Earth has a roughly 12 percent chance of experiencing an enormous megaflare erupting from the sun in the next decade. This event could potentially cause trillions of dollars’ worth of damage and take up to a decade to recover from.

Such an extreme event is considered to be relatively rare. The last gigantic solar storm, known as the Carrington Event, occurred more than 150 years ago and was the most powerful such event in recorded history.

That a rival to this event might have a greater than 10 percent chance of happening in the next 10 years was surprising to space physicist Pete Riley, senior scientist at Predictive Science in San Diego, California, who published the estimate in Space Weather on Feb. 23.

“Even if it’s off by a factor of two, that’s a much larger number than I thought,” he said.

http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2011/03/110302-solar-flares-sun-storms-earth-danger-carrington-event-science/

But the big fear is what might happen to the electrical grid, since power surges caused by solar particles could blow out giant transformers. Such transformers can take a long time to replace, especially if hundreds are destroyed at once, said Baker, who is a co-author of a National Research Council report on solar-storm risks.

The U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory's Cliver agrees: "They don't have a lot of these on the shelf," he said.

The eastern half of the U.S. is particularly vulnerable, because the power infrastructure is highly interconnected, so failures could easily cascade like chains of dominoes.

"Imagine large cities without power for a week, a month, or a year," Baker said. "The losses could be $1 to $2 trillion, and the effects could be felt for years."

Recommendations

0 members have recommended this reply (displayed in chronological order):

"Disaster Preppers" [View all] Renew Deal Feb 2012 OP
whew....misread it as "Disaster Peppers" NRaleighLiberal Feb 2012 #1
Good thing we bought all those gas masks! Renew Deal Feb 2012 #2
Yum! And thanks for propagating native plants txlibdem Mar 2012 #22
I just stumbled across a few clips last night. Joe Shlabotnik Feb 2012 #3
Interesting stuff. silverweb Feb 2012 #4
Although it is not a bad idea to become more self-sufficient, Curmudgeoness Feb 2012 #5
That will give you time to find other survivors and begin your survivor colony Renew Deal Feb 2012 #6
Personally, I don't want to survive those things. Curmudgeoness Feb 2012 #7
I am at Ground Zero. xmas74 Feb 2012 #15
When that came out, I lived in Houston. Curmudgeoness Feb 2012 #17
My family used to think I was crazy because I was warning them to prepare for disaster while jwirr Feb 2012 #8
Here: silverweb Feb 2012 #10
Oddly reassuring. This is the kind of kookiness that can drive industry. Robb Feb 2012 #9
Success, then! Kolesar Feb 2012 #14
People have been doing this since WW2, cold war. Good to have emergency supplies on hand, but uppityperson Feb 2012 #11
Simple disaster prep malakai2 Feb 2012 #12
Some of the families have decent arsenals xmas74 Feb 2012 #16
I notice my area has just been added to California's volcano watch. dimbear Feb 2012 #13
I'm in a nuclear strike zone, xmas74 Feb 2012 #18
If there's a Yellowstone super volcano, most of us will be eating marshmallows RKP5637 Feb 2012 #20
I figure I'll just head for the Twinkie factory, a la Griffin family....nt MADem Feb 2012 #19
my wife and some of our friends have gotten into "prepping" nickinSTL Mar 2012 #21
Sounds like they're going a tad OTT Starboard Tack Mar 2012 #23
apparently, the 6 months nickinSTL Mar 2012 #27
I keep six months in my pantry of short and long storage items. Mojorabbit Apr 2012 #40
Surviving a disaster without sufficient breeding numbers is worthless txlibdem Mar 2012 #24
I think the purpose is to survive long enough to find other people Renew Deal Mar 2012 #25
thousands of other people? txlibdem Mar 2012 #26
Depends on the disaster, yes? GliderGuider Apr 2012 #28
Far too many people left? txlibdem Apr 2012 #29
You have to ask yourself, "Too many for what, exactly?" GliderGuider Apr 2012 #32
Scale back to a billion people? txlibdem Apr 2012 #33
Are there any downsides to this utopia of yours? GliderGuider Apr 2012 #34
I've finally made peace with your view of the future. I'm sorry I've argued about it so much. GliderGuider Apr 2012 #35
This is a reply to both posts txlibdem Apr 2012 #36
Ten thousand is the minimum breeding population txlibdem Apr 2012 #30
A coronal mass ejection is a distinct possibility.. Fumesucker Apr 2012 #31
To be honest, anything that moves people to be more self sufficient is a good thing IMHO. eqfan592 Apr 2012 #37
You're right that anything that moves people is good. Renew Deal Apr 2012 #38
That is taking it too far, I agree. eqfan592 Apr 2012 #39
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