Israel launches strikes on southern Lebanon as IDF fighter jets break sound barrier above Beirut

[moniss]

6. Media are reporting around 70,000 rather than

200,000 and we don't know how many of those were evacuation order related beyond the zone of where rockets have impacted. Kudos for an abundance of caution. My reference to the prior activities regarding admissions by officials is strictly about any perception that the action in Lebanon has always just been responsive in nature. Should the Lebanese not tire of assaults on their territory? Being tired of cross-border attacks can go both ways.

Articles in the Arab press are saying the pagers began arriving in Lebanon in 2022 and the most recent batch early in 2024. It is not likely that in 90 days or so the Mossad formulated the plan, created shell companies or integrated personnel into existing companies and carried out the tampering. Given the year of 2022 it is more likely that they intercepted communication or had other intelligence about the fact that Hezbollah was ordering/using this pager and began the planning at that time and it is even possible that the basic outlines of the plan were there even before that and were moved along when info fell into place as to the desire for a particular pager etc. In any event I don't believe the sequence of event was 10/7 happens, Mossad thinks up a plan, personnel and companies are created, materials are brought into those personnel, the pagers are made and then shipped to Hezbollah all in a matter of 90 days or so.