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Democratic Primaries

(4,533 posts)

3. Two weeks ago the odds of Biden winning were very low

Wed Mar 11, 2020, 09:35 AM

Mar 2020

If perceived probability was so wrong two weeks ago I’m not sure it is so great a guide now.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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How can a seemingly very intelligent man have such a poor understanding of probability [View all] DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2020 OP

grasping at any straw they find... lapfog_1 Mar 2020 #1

I guess Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #2

Two weeks ago the odds of Biden winning were very low Cicada Mar 2020 #3

Probability is probability. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2020 #4

I can shoot a basketball. LeBron James can shoot a basketball. DemocratSinceBirth Mar 2020 #9

I used to pretend I knew what other people wanted as well. LanternWaste Mar 2020 #15

The projections were wrong in part because of faulty assumptions. TwilightZone Mar 2020 #7

Two weeks ago we hadn't gone through half of the primaries dansolo Mar 2020 #12

The problem is that this is not a discrete event. Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #13

The unacknowledged data shows that 70% MaryMagdaline Mar 2020 #6

The one-on-one format with no studio audience will favor Biden. sop Mar 2020 #11

Robert Reich True Blue American Mar 2020 #14