Democratic Primaries

Aquaria

(1,076 posts)

14. Oh, and Latin voters haven't voted all that different

Wed Mar 18, 2020, 10:09 PM

Mar 2020

In Texas' Rio Grande Valley, the counties Bernie won? Can you say splitting the vote?

Bloomberg siphoned off votes from Biden in nearly every single one of those counties. Hidalgo, for instance had Biden and Bloomberg splitting around 31,000 votes. Bernie beat Biden there by fewer than 1000 votes. Worse, Bernie didn't increase his voter appeal in Hidalgo by all that much. He got something like 15,900 votes there in the 2016 primary. In 2020? He gets 16700 votes. Population increase alone can account for that. You find the same thing all over the border.

If I have time, I could check CA's county-by-county numbers to see what the breakout is between BS votes and Biden + Bloomberg votes. I have a feeling they look close to the same. Maybe not exact, but not all that far off.

What delegates BS has are based on an illusion from ticket splitting. The more races that come down to Biden v BS, the more Biden kills him, time after time.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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Wonder why Latinx voters voted so differently in AZ than NV... [View all] brush Mar 2020 OP

NV had more candidates. Sanders won 47% this means that more than 50% rejected him question everything Mar 2020 #1

Good analysis. brush Mar 2020 #2

It should be noted that only 34% of caucus goers supported Sanders in the initial vote. W_HAMILTON Mar 2020 #31

Agree. And that last week Sanders won only N. Dakota and Northern Mariana question everything Mar 2020 #32

Not all have been so ready to forgive and forget the pre DACA Obama border policy tirebiter Mar 2020 #3

CA and NV kurtcagle Mar 2020 #4

That's what I was thinking.. ".. before the bounce.." Cha Mar 2020 #8

Nevada was a caucus state. That makes a huge difference. StevieM Mar 2020 #5

Good break down. brush Mar 2020 #7

Bernie spent a great deal of time in Nevada...over the last four years. Demsrule86 Mar 2020 #6

Sanders had a superb Latinx NV campaign staff, Biden had next to nothing when it came to the same Celerity Mar 2020 #9

Wrong Aquaria Mar 2020 #15

I was only speaking of NV, so the Texas part is a non sequitur Celerity Mar 2020 #18

How is Austin a Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #24

+100000000 Celerity Mar 2020 #29

Thanks for the contribution. I'll be reading more and certainly Hortensis Mar 2020 #30

Why does Idaho vote so differently from Washington and Montana? Aquaria Mar 2020 #10

Thanks for this. brush Mar 2020 #12

Oh, and Latin voters haven't voted all that different Aquaria Mar 2020 #14

NV is a caucus state. If the last 4 years have taught us nothing else GulfCoast66 Mar 2020 #11

I some Sanders Turin_C3PO Mar 2020 #26

Ooh...ooh...I know BidenBacker Mar 2020 #13

Hispanics favoring BS is an illusion Aquaria Mar 2020 #16

Agreed BidenBacker Mar 2020 #17

They see the same news that we Anglos see every day. comradebillyboy Mar 2020 #19

I think this is a simple answer BGBD Mar 2020 #20

Data for Progress BidenBacker Mar 2020 #21

I'm sure BGBD Mar 2020 #23

Primary vs Caucus. Codeine Mar 2020 #22

AZ is the most conservative of the 3 states mikelgb Mar 2020 #25

An anecdotal story about my niece. Mike 03 Mar 2020 #27

Biden won Hispanic vote in fl by large amount FloridaBlues Mar 2020 #28