New Monmouth poll has Biden +3 over Trump nationally, but +9 in swing counties

[BidenBacker]

14. Most of those numbers are about what I'd expect

Not real thrilled with my fellow college-educated white guys...just proves you don't have to be very smart to get a degree these days.

But I find this one very disturbing...

Independents split 45% for Trump and 44% for Biden.

Indies make up roughly 40% of the total electorate and outnumber both Dems and Pubs. Something on the order of 60%-40% in favor of Joe would lead to a blowout in November. Even just 55% of all Indies would provide us with a fairly comfortable win in November. Biden needs to work real hard to get his numbers up in that specific group.

A little more than 1/4 of all Independents are "right-leaning" and a little less than 1/4 are "left-leaning". The remaining half are "moderates" who are pretty much smack dab in the middle. This is why it's crucially important for Biden not to give in too much to Sanders' most extreme progressives. We lose the middle and we lose this general election.